Rangers vs Kilmarnock result and stats
Win probability: home 79%, draw 13%, away 8%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Rangers 79%, the draw 13% and Kilmarnock 8%, so a home win had a 79% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Rangers 1.42, Kilmarnock 1.15, so Rangers created the better chances. Rangers had 18 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RAKI
1.42Expected goals1.15
18Shots13
4On target5
7Corners3
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Referee: M MacDermid
Recent form
Rangers
W @ Celtic1–0 · 20 Sep
W v St Mirren1–0 · 9 Sep
W v Motherwell1–0 · 5 Sep
W @ Falkirk2–1 · 2 Sep
W @ Aberdeen1–0 · 30 Aug
Kilmarnock
D v Hearts1–1 · 19 Sep
W @ Hibernian1–0 · 15 Sep
D @ Aberdeen0–0 · 5 Sep
L v St Mirren0–1 · 2 Sep
L v Dundee United0–4 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 13 league meetings since 2022, Rangers won 11, Kilmarnock won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Feb 2026, finished Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock, a win for Rangers.
Rangers 5–1 Kilmarnock4 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock 0–3 Rangers6 Dec 2025
Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock26 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock 2–4 Rangers26 Feb 2025
Rangers 6–0 Kilmarnock4 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock 1–0 Rangers20 Oct 2024
Season averages per game
RAKI
1.73Goals1.00
0.82Conceded2.36
2.20xG1.16
1.11xG against2.19
19.4Shots11.2
6.8On target3.8
7.4Corners4.9
1.82Yellow cards2.09
46%Clean sheets18%
55%Both score55%
55%3+ goals64%