St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 27%, away 36%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSt Johnstone beat Kilmarnock 4–3 at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 2 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave St Johnstone 36%, the draw 27% and Kilmarnock 36%, so a home win had a 36% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished St Johnstone 1.77, Kilmarnock 0.79, so St Johnstone created the better chances. St Johnstone had 15 shots (5 on target) to Kilmarnock's 7 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SJKI
1.77Expected goals0.79
15Shots7
5On target5
6Corners3
6Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Referee: J Beaton
Recent form
St Johnstone
L v Dundee0–2 · 18 May
L @ Hearts1–2 · 14 May
W v Ross County2–1 · 10 May
L v Kilmarnock0–2 · 3 May
L @ Motherwell2–3 · 26 Apr
Kilmarnock
W @ Livingston4–1 · 17 May
W v Dundee3–1 · 12 May
W @ St Mirren3–0 · 9 May
W v Dundee United3–0 · 2 May
L @ Aberdeen0–1 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 11 league meetings since 2022, St Johnstone won 5, Kilmarnock won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished St Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock, a win for Kilmarnock.
St Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock3 May 2025
Kilmarnock 3–1 St Johnstone15 Feb 2025
St Johnstone 1–0 Kilmarnock23 Nov 2024
Kilmarnock 0–3 St Johnstone11 Aug 2024
St Johnstone 0–2 Kilmarnock13 Apr 2024
Kilmarnock 2–1 St Johnstone23 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
SJKI
1.18Goals1.00
1.55Conceded2.36
1.22xG1.16
1.74xG against2.19
10.4Shots11.2
3.4On target3.8
3.1Corners4.9
1.27Yellow cards2.09
9%Clean sheets18%
64%Both score55%
46%3+ goals64%