GossipBall
Serie ASunday 11 January 2026 ·

Fiorentina vs Milan result and stats

29%
test home win
1–1
full time
25%
draw
45%
test away win
Win probability: home 29%, draw 25%, away 45%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Fiorentina and Milan drew 1–1 in the Serie A on Sunday 11 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Fiorentina 29%, the draw 25% and Milan 45%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

FIMI
20
Shots
13
7
On target
3
8
Corners
5
10
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Fiorentina
D @ Lazio2–2 · 7 Jan
W v Cremonese1–0 · 4 Jan
L @ Parma0–1 · 27 Dec
W v Udinese5–1 · 21 Dec
L v Verona1–2 · 14 Dec
Milan
D v Genoa1–1 · 8 Jan
W @ Cagliari1–0 · 2 Jan
W v Verona3–0 · 28 Dec
D v Sassuolo2–2 · 14 Dec
W @ Torino3–2 · 8 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Fiorentina won 3, Milan won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Oct 2025, finished Milan 2–1 Fiorentina, a win for Milan.

Milan 2–1 Fiorentina19 Oct 2025
Milan 2–2 Fiorentina5 Apr 2025
Fiorentina 2–1 Milan6 Oct 2024
Fiorentina 1–2 Milan30 Mar 2024
Milan 1–0 Fiorentina25 Nov 2023
Fiorentina 2–1 Milan4 Mar 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]