GossipBall
Serie ASunday 19 October 2025 ·

Milan vs Fiorentina result and stats

48%
test home win
2–1
full time
26%
draw
26%
test away win
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Milan beat Fiorentina 2–1 at home in the Serie A on Sunday 19 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Milan 48%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 26%, so a home win had a 48% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

MIFI
14
Shots
5
4
On target
1
1
Corners
3
14
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Milan
D @ Juventus0–0 · 5 Oct
W v Napoli2–1 · 28 Sep
W @ Udinese3–0 · 20 Sep
W v Bologna1–0 · 14 Sep
W @ Lecce2–0 · 29 Aug
Fiorentina
L v Roma1–2 · 5 Oct
D @ Pisa0–0 · 28 Sep
L v Como1–2 · 21 Sep
L v Napoli1–3 · 13 Sep
D @ Torino0–0 · 31 Aug

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Milan won 4, Fiorentina won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

Milan 2–2 Fiorentina5 Apr 2025
Fiorentina 2–1 Milan6 Oct 2024
Fiorentina 1–2 Milan30 Mar 2024
Milan 1–0 Fiorentina25 Nov 2023
Fiorentina 2–1 Milan4 Mar 2023
Milan 2–1 Fiorentina13 Nov 2022

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]