Atalanta vs Cagliari result and stats
Win probability: home 61%, draw 22%, away 16%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCagliari won 2–1 away at Atalanta in the Serie A on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Atalanta 61%, the draw 22% and Cagliari 16%, so an away win had a 16% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Atalanta 1.31, Cagliari 1.32, so Cagliari created the better chances. Atalanta had 22 shots (4 on target) to Cagliari's 5 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ATCA
1.31Expected goals1.32
22Shots5
4On target5
3Corners2
9Fouls8
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Atalanta
L @ Roma1–2 · 5 Sep
W v Bologna1–0 · 31 Aug
W v Sassuolo2–1 · 23 Aug
D @ Fiorentina1–1 · 22 May
L v Bologna0–1 · 17 May
Cagliari
W v Lecce1–0 · 7 Sep
L v Inter0–1 · 30 Aug
W @ Parma1–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Milan2–1 · 24 May
W v Torino2–1 · 17 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Atalanta won 4, Cagliari won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2026, finished Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta, a win for Cagliari.
Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta27 Apr 2026
Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari13 Dec 2025
Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari15 Feb 2025
Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta14 Dec 2024
Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta7 Apr 2024
Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari24 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
ATCA
1.75Goals0.89
1.88Conceded1.44
1.42xG1.25
2.10xG against1.89
14.4Shots10.8
5.1On target4.1
4.0Corners4.1
0.88Yellow cards1.44
12%Clean sheets33%
75%Both score33%
75%3+ goals33%