Serie AMatchday 10Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:00

Bologna vs Monza prediction

Bologna

58%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

10.7% chance

23%

draw

Monza

19%

away win

Win probability: home 58%, draw 23%, away 19%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Monza at home in the Serie A on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Bologna a 58% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Monza 19%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Bologna and 1.0 from Monza, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (11%). Bologna keep a clean sheet in 37% of outcomes, Monza in 15%.

Bologna are 11th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Monza are 16th with 7. In their last five league games Bologna took 10 points (DWLWW) and Monza took 6 (WLWLL). This season Bologna average 1.44 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Monza average 1.56 for and 1.39 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Bologna won 3, Monza won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Bologna 3–1 Monza, a win for Bologna.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Bologna goalsColumns: Monza goals

1–110.7%

1–010.3%

2–010.0%

2–19.9%

3–06.3%

3–16.3%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

79%

3 or more goals

55%

4 or more goals

33%

5 or more goals

17%

Both teams score

54%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.90 for Bologna and 0.99 for Monza.

Winning margin

Explained

Bologna by 3

10%

Bologna by 2

18%

Bologna by 1

24%

Draw

23%

Monza by 3

Monza by 2

Monza by 1

12%

Each team's goals

Explained

Bologna expected goals1.90

Monza expected goals0.99

Bologna keep a clean sheet37%

Monza keep a clean sheet15%

Bologna win without conceding31%

Monza win without conceding9%

Bologna score 2 or more57%

Monza score 2 or more26%

Recent form

Bologna

W @ Milan4–2 · 28 Oct

W @ Cagliari2–0 · 24 Oct

L v Inter1–3 · 17 Oct

W @ Lecce2–1 · 11 Oct

D v Torino1–1 · 19 Sep

Monza

L v Napoli1–4 · 28 Oct

L @ Torino2–3 · 23 Oct

W v Cagliari4–0 · 19 Oct

L @ Lazio1–3 · 11 Oct

W v Sassuolo2–1 · 18 Sep

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Bologna won 3, Monza won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Bologna 3–1 Monza, a win for Bologna.

Bologna 3–1 Monza18 Jan 2025

Monza 1–2 Bologna22 Sep 2024

Bologna 0–0 Monza13 Apr 2024

Monza 0–0 Bologna28 Sep 2023

Bologna 0–1 Monza12 Feb 2023

Monza 1–2 Bologna31 Oct 2022

Season averages per game

BOMO

1.33

Goals

1.78

1.33

Conceded

2.44

1.44

1.56

1.30

xG against

1.39

11.8

Shots

13.2

3.9

On target

5.6

3.9

Corners

4.0

1.89

Yellow cards

1.56

11%

Clean sheets

11%

56%

Both score

89%

44%

3+ goals

89%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bologna vs Monza?

GossipBall gives Bologna a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monza 19%. GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Monza at home.

What is the most likely score in Bologna vs Monza?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Monza?

GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Bologna and Monza score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bologna vs Monza?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.9 for Bologna, 1.0 for Monza).

When is Bologna vs Monza?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Monza?

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Bologna won 3, Monza won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Bologna 3–1 Monza, a win for Bologna.