Cagliari vs Inter result and stats
Win probability: home 12%, draw 18%, away 71%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersInter won 1–0 away at Cagliari in the Serie A on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Cagliari 12%, the draw 18% and Inter 71%, so an away win had a 71% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Cagliari 0.45, Inter 3.91, so Inter created the better chances. Cagliari had 10 shots (0 on target) to Inter's 31 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
CAIN
0.45Expected goals3.91
10Shots31
0On target7
8Corners6
6Fouls5
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Cagliari
W @ Parma1–0 · 22 Aug
W @ Milan2–1 · 24 May
W v Torino2–1 · 17 May
L v Udinese0–2 · 9 May
D @ Bologna0–0 · 3 May
Inter
W v Monza4–1 · 22 Aug
D @ Bologna3–3 · 23 May
D v Verona1–1 · 17 May
W @ Lazio3–0 · 9 May
W v Parma2–0 · 3 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 0, Inter won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Apr 2026, finished Inter 3–0 Cagliari, a win for Inter.
Inter 3–0 Cagliari17 Apr 2026
Cagliari 0–2 Inter27 Sep 2025
Inter 3–1 Cagliari12 Apr 2025
Cagliari 0–3 Inter28 Dec 2024
Inter 2–2 Cagliari14 Apr 2024
Cagliari 0–2 Inter28 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
CAIN
0.89Goals2.78
1.44Conceded1.11
1.25xG2.82
1.89xG against1.11
10.8Shots22.3
4.1On target7.1
4.1Corners5.8
1.44Yellow cards1.44
33%Clean sheets33%
33%Both score67%
33%3+ goals78%