Serie AMatchday 10Sunday 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Lazio vs Cagliari prediction

Lazio

55%

home win

likeliest score

1–0

12.5% chance

25%

draw

Cagliari

20%

away win

Win probability: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Lazio favourites to beat Cagliari at home in the Serie A on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Lazio a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Cagliari 20%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Lazio and 0.9 from Cagliari, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–0 (13%). Lazio keep a clean sheet in 41% of outcomes, Cagliari in 19%.

Lazio are 2nd in the table with 25 points from 9 games; Cagliari are 10th with 13. In their last five league games Lazio took 15 points (WWWWW) and Cagliari took 4 (WDLLL). This season Lazio average 1.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.15 against per game; Cagliari average 1.25 for and 1.89 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 6, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Lazio goalsColumns: Cagliari goals

1–012.5%

1–111.8%

2–010.6%

2–19.6%

0–08.0%

0–16.7%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

92%

2 or more goals

73%

3 or more goals

47%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

48%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.66 for Lazio and 0.90 for Cagliari.

Winning margin

Explained

Lazio by 3

Lazio by 2

17%

Lazio by 1

25%

Draw

25%

Cagliari by 3

Cagliari by 2

Cagliari by 1

13%

Each team's goals

Explained

Lazio expected goals1.66

Cagliari expected goals0.90

Lazio keep a clean sheet41%

Cagliari keep a clean sheet19%

Lazio win without conceding33%

Cagliari win without conceding11%

Lazio score 2 or more50%

Cagliari score 2 or more23%

Recent form

Lazio

W @ Sassuolo6–2 · 27 Oct

W v Parma2–1 · 24 Oct

W @ Juventus3–0 · 18 Oct

W v Monza3–1 · 11 Oct

W @ Venezia2–0 · 19 Sep

Cagliari

L @ Roma2–4 · 27 Oct

L v Bologna0–2 · 24 Oct

L @ Monza0–4 · 19 Oct

D v Juventus1–1 · 11 Oct

W @ Udinese1–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 6, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

Cagliari 0–0 Lazio21 Feb 2026

Lazio 2–0 Cagliari3 Nov 2025

Cagliari 1–2 Lazio3 Feb 2025

Lazio 2–1 Cagliari4 Nov 2024

Cagliari 1–3 Lazio10 Feb 2024

Lazio 1–0 Cagliari2 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

LACA

2.44

Goals

0.89

0.78

Conceded

1.44

1.71

1.25

1.15

xG against

1.89

14.1

Shots

10.8

4.7

On target

4.1

5.0

Corners

4.1

1.67

Yellow cards

1.44

44%

Clean sheets

33%

56%

Both score

33%

67%

3+ goals

33%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?

GossipBall gives Lazio a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cagliari 20%. GossipBall makes Lazio favourites to beat Cagliari at home.

What is the most likely score in Lazio vs Cagliari?

The likeliest single score is 1–0, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Lazio vs Cagliari?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Lazio and Cagliari score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lazio vs Cagliari?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Lazio, 0.9 for Cagliari).

When is Lazio vs Cagliari?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Cagliari?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 6, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.