Lazio vs Milan result and stats
Win probability: home 33%, draw 28%, away 38%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLazio and Milan drew 2–2 in the Serie A on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Lazio 33%, the draw 28% and Milan 38%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Lazio 2.02, Milan 1.25, so Lazio created the better chances. Lazio had 8 shots (6 on target) to Milan's 16 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LAMI
2.02Expected goals1.25
8Shots16
6On target7
2Corners5
15Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Lazio
W @ Udinese2–1 · 7 Sep
W v Genoa1–0 · 30 Aug
W @ Bologna1–0 · 24 Aug
W v Pisa2–1 · 23 May
L @ Roma0–2 · 17 May
Milan
D @ Juventus1–1 · 6 Sep
W v Venezia2–0 · 28 Aug
W @ Torino2–1 · 23 Aug
L v Cagliari1–2 · 24 May
W @ Genoa2–1 · 17 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 3, Milan won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Lazio 1–0 Milan, a win for Lazio.
Lazio 1–0 Milan15 Mar 2026
Milan 1–0 Lazio29 Nov 2025
Milan 1–2 Lazio2 Mar 2025
Lazio 2–2 Milan31 Aug 2024
Lazio 0–1 Milan1 Mar 2024
Milan 2–0 Lazio30 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
LAMI
2.44Goals2.00
0.78Conceded1.22
1.71xG1.90
1.15xG against1.28
14.1Shots12.6
4.7On target4.8
5.0Corners3.0
1.67Yellow cards1.67
44%Clean sheets33%
56%Both score67%
67%3+ goals56%