Milan vs Atalanta result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 27%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMilan beat Atalanta 3–2 at home in the Serie A on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Milan 40%, the draw 27% and Atalanta 33%, so a home win had a 40% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Milan 2.58, Atalanta 1.74, so Milan created the better chances. Milan had 11 shots (6 on target) to Atalanta's 12 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MIAT
2.58Expected goals1.74
11Shots12
6On target4
2Corners2
3Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Milan
D @ Sassuolo1–1 · 11 Oct
W v Lecce3–0 · 20 Sep
D @ Lazio2–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Juventus1–1 · 6 Sep
W v Venezia2–0 · 28 Aug
Atalanta
W v Venezia3–1 · 12 Oct
L @ Juventus0–2 · 20 Sep
L v Cagliari1–2 · 12 Sep
L @ Roma1–2 · 5 Sep
W v Bologna1–0 · 31 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Milan won 3, Atalanta won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Milan 2–3 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.
Milan 2–3 Atalanta10 May 2026
Atalanta 1–1 Milan28 Oct 2025
Milan 0–1 Atalanta20 Apr 2025
Atalanta 2–1 Milan6 Dec 2024
Milan 1–1 Atalanta25 Feb 2024
Atalanta 3–2 Milan9 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
MIAT
2.00Goals1.75
1.22Conceded1.88
1.90xG1.42
1.28xG against2.10
12.6Shots14.4
4.8On target5.1
3.0Corners4.0
1.67Yellow cards0.88
33%Clean sheets12%
67%Both score75%
56%3+ goals75%