Milan vs Bologna result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 26%, away 27%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBologna won 4–2 away at Milan in the Serie A on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Milan 47%, the draw 26% and Bologna 27%, so an away win had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Milan 1.80, Bologna 2.09, so Bologna created the better chances. Milan had 8 shots (3 on target) to Bologna's 9 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MIBO
1.80Expected goals2.09
8Shots9
3On target5
2Corners3
10Fouls16
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Milan
W @ Udinese2–0 · 25 Oct
W v Atalanta3–2 · 18 Oct
D @ Sassuolo1–1 · 11 Oct
W v Lecce3–0 · 20 Sep
D @ Lazio2–2 · 12 Sep
Bologna
W @ Cagliari2–0 · 24 Oct
L v Inter1–3 · 17 Oct
W @ Lecce2–1 · 11 Oct
D v Torino1–1 · 19 Sep
L @ Napoli0–1 · 13 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Milan won 6, Bologna won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Feb 2026, finished Bologna 0–3 Milan, a win for Milan.
Bologna 0–3 Milan3 Feb 2026
Milan 1–0 Bologna14 Sep 2025
Milan 3–1 Bologna9 May 2025
Bologna 2–1 Milan27 Feb 2025
Milan 2–2 Bologna27 Jan 2024
Bologna 0–2 Milan21 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
MIBO
2.00Goals1.33
1.22Conceded1.33
1.90xG1.44
1.28xG against1.30
12.6Shots11.8
4.8On target3.9
3.0Corners3.9
1.67Yellow cards1.89
33%Clean sheets11%
67%Both score56%
56%3+ goals44%