Monza vs Cagliari result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 38%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMonza beat Cagliari 4–0 at home in the Serie A on Monday 19 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Monza 35%, the draw 27% and Cagliari 38%, so a home win had a 35% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Monza 2.06, Cagliari 2.37, so Cagliari created the better chances. Monza had 14 shots (6 on target) to Cagliari's 16 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MOCA
2.06Expected goals2.37
14Shots16
6On target5
2Corners7
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Monza
L @ Lazio1–3 · 11 Oct
W v Sassuolo2–1 · 18 Sep
L @ Lecce2–3 · 13 Sep
D @ Parma1–1 · 6 Sep
L v Udinese2–3 · 29 Aug
Cagliari
D v Juventus1–1 · 11 Oct
W @ Udinese1–0 · 19 Sep
W @ Atalanta2–1 · 12 Sep
W v Lecce1–0 · 7 Sep
L v Inter0–1 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Monza won 1, Cagliari won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Mar 2025, finished Cagliari 3–0 Monza, a win for Cagliari.
Cagliari 3–0 Monza30 Mar 2025
Monza 1–2 Cagliari5 Jan 2025
Monza 1–0 Cagliari16 Mar 2024
Cagliari 1–1 Monza26 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
MOCA
1.78Goals0.89
2.44Conceded1.44
1.56xG1.25
1.39xG against1.89
13.2Shots10.8
5.6On target4.1
4.0Corners4.1
1.56Yellow cards1.44
11%Clean sheets33%
89%Both score33%
89%3+ goals33%