Parma vs Cagliari result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersCagliari won 1–0 away at Parma in the Serie A on Saturday 22 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Parma 36%, the draw 30% and Cagliari 33%, so an away win had a 33% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Parma 0.75, Cagliari 0.94, so Cagliari created the better chances. Parma had 13 shots (2 on target) to Cagliari's 14 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
PACA
0.75Expected goals0.94
13Shots14
2On target5
3Corners2
6Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Parma
W v Sassuolo1–0 · 24 May
L @ Como0–1 · 17 May
L v Roma2–3 · 10 May
L @ Inter0–2 · 3 May
W v Pisa1–0 · 25 Apr
Cagliari
W @ Milan2–1 · 24 May
W v Torino2–1 · 17 May
L v Udinese0–2 · 9 May
D @ Bologna0–0 · 3 May
W v Atalanta3–2 · 27 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Parma won 0, Cagliari won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Parma 1–1 Cagliari27 Feb 2026
Cagliari 2–0 Parma13 Sep 2025
Cagliari 2–1 Parma9 Feb 2025
Parma 2–3 Cagliari30 Sep 2024
Season averages per game
PACA
0.56Goals0.89
1.67Conceded1.44
0.80xG1.25
1.69xG against1.89
10.3Shots10.8
3.3On target4.1
3.3Corners4.1
1.44Yellow cards1.44
11%Clean sheets33%
44%Both score33%
56%3+ goals33%