Sassuolo vs Milan result and stats
Win probability: home 26%, draw 25%, away 50%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersSassuolo and Milan drew 1–1 in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Sassuolo 26%, the draw 25% and Milan 50%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Sassuolo 1.19, Milan 1.18, so Sassuolo created the better chances. Sassuolo had 10 shots (4 on target) to Milan's 11 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
SAMI
1.19Expected goals1.18
10Shots11
4On target6
3Corners5
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Sassuolo
L @ Monza1–2 · 18 Sep
W v Juventus3–2 · 13 Sep
D @ Bologna2–2 · 6 Sep
W v Torino2–1 · 29 Aug
L @ Atalanta1–2 · 23 Aug
Milan
W v Lecce3–0 · 20 Sep
D @ Lazio2–2 · 12 Sep
D @ Juventus1–1 · 6 Sep
W v Venezia2–0 · 28 Aug
W @ Torino2–1 · 23 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 3, Milan won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–0 Milan, a win for Sassuolo.
Sassuolo 2–0 Milan3 May 2026
Milan 2–2 Sassuolo14 Dec 2025
Sassuolo 3–3 Milan14 Apr 2024
Milan 1–0 Sassuolo30 Dec 2023
Milan 2–5 Sassuolo29 Jan 2023
Sassuolo 0–0 Milan30 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
SAMI
1.56Goals2.00
2.44Conceded1.22
1.44xG1.90
1.72xG against1.28
14.0Shots12.6
5.1On target4.8
4.0Corners3.0
1.33Yellow cards1.67
0%Clean sheets33%
89%Both score67%
78%3+ goals56%