GossipBall
Süper LigMonday 16 February 2026 ·

Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk result and stats

48%
test home win
3–2
full time
27%
draw
Karagumruk
25%
test away win
Win probability: home 48%, draw 27%, away 25%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Kasimpasa beat Karagumruk 3–2 at home in the Süper Lig on Monday 16 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Kasimpasa 48%, the draw 27% and Karagumruk 25%, so a home win had a 48% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

KAKA
12
Shots
11
6
On target
4
2
Corners
3
20
Fouls
8
5
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Kasimpasa
L @ Gaziantep1–2 · 9 Feb
L v Samsunspor0–1 · 30 Jan
L @ Trabzonspor1–2 · 23 Jan
D v Antalyaspor0–0 · 18 Jan
L @ Galatasaray0–3 · 21 Dec
Karagumruk
W v Antalyaspor1–0 · 7 Feb
L @ Goztep1–2 · 31 Jan
L v Galatasaray1–3 · 24 Jan
L @ Buyuksehyr1–2 · 17 Jan
L @ Alanyaspor0–2 · 21 Dec

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2021, Kasimpasa won 2, Karagumruk won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Sep 2025, finished Karagumruk 0–1 Kasimpasa, a win for Kasimpasa.

Karagumruk 0–1 Kasimpasa13 Sep 2025
Kasimpasa 1–1 Karagumruk16 Feb 2024
Karagumruk 2–3 Kasimpasa1 Oct 2023
Karagumruk 3–0 Kasimpasa6 Jun 2023
Kasimpasa 2–2 Karagumruk15 Jan 2023
Karagumruk 3–2 Kasimpasa9 Apr 2022

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]