GossipBall
Süper LigSunday 30 August 2026 ·

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa result and stats

60%
test home win
1–1
full time
23%
draw
16%
test away win
Win probability: home 60%, draw 23%, away 16%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1 in the Süper Lig on Sunday 30 August 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Başakşehir 60%, the draw 23% and Kasımpaşa 16%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.

On expected goals it finished Başakşehir 0.77, Kasımpaşa 1.58, so Kasımpaşa created the better chances. Başakşehir had 12 shots (2 on target) to Kasımpaşa's 12 (3 on target).

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 3 November 2026, 00:40 UTC

Match stats

BASKAS
0.77
Expected goals
1.58
12
Shots
12
2
On target
3
5
Corners
3
11
Fouls
13
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Başakşehir
L @ Trabzonspor1–2 · 23 Aug
W v Kocaelispor2–0 · 16 Aug
W @ Gaziantep2–1 · 16 May
W v Samsunspor3–0 · 9 May
L @ Fenerbahçe1–3 · 2 May
Kasımpaşa
W @ Çorum1–0 · 22 Aug
D v Trabzonspor1–1 · 15 Aug
W v Galatasaray1–0 · 17 May
L @ Gençlerbirliği2–3 · 9 May
D v Kocaelispor1–1 · 3 May

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Başakşehir won 9, Kasımpaşa won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Apr 2026, finished Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa, a win for Başakşehir.

Başakşehir 4–0 Kasımpaşa24 Apr 2026
Kasımpaşa 1–3 Başakşehir29 Nov 2025
Kasımpaşa 2–3 Başakşehir18 May 2025
Başakşehir 2–2 Kasımpaşa23 Dec 2024
Başakşehir 4–1 Kasımpaşa5 May 2024
Kasımpaşa 0–3 Başakşehir9 Jan 2024

Season averages per game

BASKAS
1.70
Goals
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.10
1.70
xG
1.15
1.58
xG against
1.13
13.2
Shots
12.8
4.6
On target
4.2
4.5
Corners
4.3
2.10
Yellow cards
2.50
30%
Clean sheets
30%
50%
Both score
70%
60%
3+ goals
50%

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Updated 3 November 2026, 00:40 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·