GossipBall
Süper LigSunday 1 November 2026 ·

Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor prediction

54%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.9% chance
26%
draw
20%
away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 26%, away 20%

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Buyuksehyr favourites to beat Samsunspor at home in the Süper Lig on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Buyuksehyr a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Samsunspor 20%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Buyuksehyr and 1.1 from Samsunspor, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Buyuksehyr keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Samsunspor in 16%.

Buyuksehyr are 12th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Samsunspor are 17th with 4. In their last five league games Buyuksehyr took 7 points (LWDWL) and Samsunspor took 0 (LLLLL). This season Buyuksehyr average 1.46 expected goals (xG) for and 1.65 against per game; Samsunspor average 1.19 for and 1.71 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Buyuksehyr won 4, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Buyuksehyr 3–0 Samsunspor, a win for Buyuksehyr.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
4
3
1
<1
1
8
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
10
5
2
<1
<1
3
6
6
3
1
<1
4
3
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Buyuksehyr goalsColumns: Samsunspor goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.2%
2–19.9%
2–09.2%
1–08.4%
0–07.0%
3–16.1%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
56%
4 or more goals
34%
5 or more goals
17%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.85 for Buyuksehyr and 1.07 for Samsunspor.

Winning margin

Explained
Buyuksehyr by 3
9%
Buyuksehyr by 2
17%
Buyuksehyr by 1
22%
Draw
26%
Samsunspor by 3
2%
Samsunspor by 2
6%
Samsunspor by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Buyuksehyr expected goals1.85
Samsunspor expected goals1.07
Buyuksehyr keep a clean sheet34%
Samsunspor keep a clean sheet16%
Buyuksehyr win without conceding27%
Samsunspor win without conceding9%
Buyuksehyr score 2 or more55%
Samsunspor score 2 or more29%

Recent form

Buyuksehyr
L @ Besiktas0–2 · 26 Oct
W v Gaziantep2–1 · 18 Oct
D @ Konyaspor0–0 · 11 Oct
W v Genclerbirligi4–0 · 19 Sep
L @ Amedspor0–5 · 13 Sep
Samsunspor
L v Amedspor1–2 · 24 Oct
L @ Kasimpasa1–4 · 18 Oct
L v Trabzonspor0–3 · 10 Oct
L @ Erzurumspor0–1 · 20 Sep
L v Corum1–5 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Buyuksehyr won 4, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Buyuksehyr 3–0 Samsunspor, a win for Buyuksehyr.

Buyuksehyr 3–0 Samsunspor9 May 2026
Samsunspor 0–2 Buyuksehyr14 Dec 2025
Buyuksehyr 4–0 Samsunspor1 Feb 2025
Samsunspor 2–0 Buyuksehyr18 Sep 2024
Buyuksehyr 1–0 Samsunspor3 Mar 2024
Samsunspor 0–0 Buyuksehyr22 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

BUSA
1.33
Goals
0.89
1.56
Conceded
2.33
1.46
xG
1.19
1.65
xG against
1.71
12.0
Shots
13.8
4.0
On target
3.2
4.1
Corners
4.4
2.33
Yellow cards
1.44
33%
Clean sheets
11%
44%
Both score
44%
56%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?

GossipBall gives Buyuksehyr a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Samsunspor 20%. GossipBall makes Buyuksehyr favourites to beat Samsunspor at home.

What is the predicted score for Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Buyuksehyr, 1.1 for Samsunspor). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Buyuksehyr and Samsunspor score.

Will there be three or more goals in Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?

There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.9 for Buyuksehyr, 1.1 for Samsunspor).

When is Buyuksehyr vs Samsunspor?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Buyuksehyr and Samsunspor?

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Buyuksehyr won 4, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Buyuksehyr 3–0 Samsunspor, a win for Buyuksehyr.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]