Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor result and stats
Win probability: home 21%, draw 31%, away 48%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersErzurumspor beat Samsunspor 1–0 at home in the Süper Lig on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Erzurumspor 21%, the draw 31% and Samsunspor 48%, so a home win had a 21% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Erzurumspor 0.72, Samsunspor 0.36, so Erzurumspor created the better chances. Erzurumspor had 8 shots (2 on target) to Samsunspor's 8 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ERSA
0.72Expected goals0.36
8Shots8
2On target2
3Corners5
11Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Erzurumspor
L @ Besiktas0–3 · 11 Sep
W v Konyaspor1–0 · 5 Sep
D @ Genclerbirligi1–1 · 28 Aug
L v Galatasaray0–4 · 21 Aug
L @ Amedspor0–3 · 16 Aug
Samsunspor
L v Corum1–5 · 12 Sep
L @ Kocaelispor0–1 · 6 Sep
L v Fenerbahce0–2 · 30 Aug
W @ Rizespor2–0 · 22 Aug
D v Goztep3–3 · 17 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
ERSA
0.89Goals0.89
1.33Conceded2.33
0.88xG1.19
1.38xG against1.71
9.6Shots13.8
2.9On target3.2
3.0Corners4.4
1.22Yellow cards1.44
44%Clean sheets11%
22%Both score44%
44%3+ goals56%