GossipBall
Süper LigSunday 1 November 2026 ·

Kasimpasa vs Besiktas prediction

27%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.2% chance
29%
draw
44%
away win
Win probability: home 27%, draw 29%, away 44%

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Besiktas slight favourites to beat Kasimpasa away from home in the Süper Lig on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It gives Kasimpasa a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Besiktas 44%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Kasimpasa and 1.5 from Besiktas, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Kasimpasa keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Besiktas in 31%.

Kasimpasa are 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Besiktas are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Kasimpasa took 10 points (WDLWW) and Besiktas took 9 (WLWLW). This season Kasimpasa average 1.13 expected goals (xG) for and 1.12 against per game; Besiktas average 1.81 for and 0.91 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Kasimpasa won 4, Besiktas won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2026, finished Besiktas 2–1 Kasimpasa, a win for Besiktas.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
9
8
4
2
<1
1
6
14
9
5
2
<1
2
5
7
5
3
1
<1
3
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Kasimpasa goalsColumns: Besiktas goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.8%
1–29.2%
0–18.6%
0–08.5%
0–28.0%
2–17.0%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
77%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.16 for Kasimpasa and 1.54 for Besiktas.

Winning margin

Explained
Kasimpasa by 3
3%
Kasimpasa by 2
8%
Kasimpasa by 1
15%
Draw
29%
Besiktas by 3
6%
Besiktas by 2
14%
Besiktas by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Kasimpasa expected goals1.16
Besiktas expected goals1.54
Kasimpasa keep a clean sheet21%
Besiktas keep a clean sheet31%
Kasimpasa win without conceding13%
Besiktas win without conceding23%
Kasimpasa score 2 or more32%
Besiktas score 2 or more46%

Recent form

Kasimpasa
W @ Eyupspor1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Samsunspor4–1 · 18 Oct
L @ Galatasaray1–3 · 9 Oct
D v Konyaspor0–0 · 18 Sep
W @ Genclerbirligi2–1 · 13 Sep
Besiktas
W v Buyuksehyr2–0 · 26 Oct
L @ Trabzonspor0–2 · 19 Oct
W v Kocaelispor2–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Amedspor2–3 · 20 Sep
W v Erzurumspor3–0 · 11 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Kasimpasa won 4, Besiktas won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2026, finished Besiktas 2–1 Kasimpasa, a win for Besiktas.

Besiktas 2–1 Kasimpasa19 Mar 2026
Kasimpasa 1–1 Besiktas26 Oct 2025
Kasimpasa 1–1 Besiktas7 Apr 2025
Besiktas 1–3 Kasimpasa2 Nov 2024
Kasimpasa 2–1 Besiktas26 May 2024
Besiktas 1–3 Kasimpasa5 Jan 2024

Season averages per game

KABE
1.44
Goals
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.11
1.13
xG
1.81
1.12
xG against
0.91
12.4
Shots
17.7
4.0
On target
6.3
4.2
Corners
7.2
2.67
Yellow cards
2.33
33%
Clean sheets
33%
67%
Both score
44%
44%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

GossipBall gives Kasimpasa a 27% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Besiktas 44%. GossipBall makes Besiktas slight favourites to beat Kasimpasa away from home.

What is the predicted score for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Kasimpasa, 1.5 for Besiktas). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Kasimpasa and Besiktas score.

Will there be three or more goals in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.2 for Kasimpasa, 1.5 for Besiktas).

When is Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Kasimpasa and Besiktas?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Kasimpasa won 4, Besiktas won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2026, finished Besiktas 2–1 Kasimpasa, a win for Besiktas.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 12:36 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]