Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor result and stats
Win probability: home 28%, draw 27%, away 45%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersKasimpasa and Trabzonspor drew 1–1 in the Süper Lig on Saturday 15 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Kasimpasa 28%, the draw 27% and Trabzonspor 45%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Kasimpasa 1.86, Trabzonspor 0.86, so Kasimpasa created the better chances. Kasimpasa had 9 shots (4 on target) to Trabzonspor's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
KATR
1.86Expected goals0.86
9Shots13
4On target5
3Corners10
17Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Kasimpasa
W v Galatasaray1–0 · 17 May
L @ Genclerbirligi2–3 · 9 May
D v Kocaelispor1–1 · 3 May
L @ Buyuksehyr0–4 · 24 Apr
W v Alanyaspor1–0 · 19 Apr
Trabzonspor
L v Genclerbirligi0–3 · 17 May
W @ Besiktas2–1 · 9 May
D v Goztep1–1 · 2 May
L @ Konyaspor1–2 · 27 Apr
D v Buyuksehyr1–1 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Kasimpasa won 2, Trabzonspor won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, finished Trabzonspor 2–1 Kasimpasa, a win for Trabzonspor.
Trabzonspor 2–1 Kasimpasa23 Jan 2026
Kasimpasa 0–1 Trabzonspor18 Aug 2025
Kasimpasa 1–1 Trabzonspor5 May 2025
Trabzonspor 2–2 Kasimpasa6 Dec 2024
Trabzonspor 2–3 Kasimpasa29 Jan 2024
Kasimpasa 1–5 Trabzonspor1 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
KATR
1.44Goals2.44
1.00Conceded0.89
1.13xG1.93
1.12xG against1.51
12.4Shots13.9
4.0On target6.9
4.2Corners5.2
2.67Yellow cards2.11
33%Clean sheets44%
67%Both score44%
44%3+ goals67%