Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 22%, away 15%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayer Leverkusen and Mainz drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Bayer Leverkusen 63%, the draw 22% and Mainz 15%, so a draw had a 22% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BLMA
12Shots8
5On target4
6Corners2
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen
L @ Union Berlin0–1 · 21 Feb
W v St Pauli4–0 · 14 Feb
D @ Gladbach1–1 · 7 Feb
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt3–1 · 31 Jan
W v Werder Bremen1–0 · 24 Jan
Mainz
D v Hamburg1–1 · 20 Feb
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–4 · 13 Feb
W v Augsburg2–0 · 7 Feb
W @ RB Leipzig2–1 · 31 Jan
W v Wolfsburg3–1 · 24 Jan
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Bayer Leverkusen won 6, Mainz won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Oct 2025, finished Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen, a win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen18 Oct 2025
Mainz 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen17 May 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 Mainz14 Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Mainz23 Feb 2024
Mainz 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen30 Sep 2023
Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 Mainz19 Feb 2023