Mainz

7th · 10 pts from 7 · LWLWL

Mainz are 7th in the Bundesliga with 10 points from 7 games (3 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats), having scored 16 and conceded 13.

They average 2.21 expected goals for and 1.59 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 8th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.

Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Mainz to finish with about 46 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 5% of a top-four finish and 3% of finishing in the bottom three.

Next up: away at Elversberg on Friday 30 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Mainz a 38% chance of winning.

8 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank

2.21xG per game

1.59xG against per game

43%clean sheets

46.0expected final points

0%chance to win the league

Next matches

Elversberg vs Mainz prediction (Bundesliga):

19:30

Elversberg

Mainz

Win probability: home 38%, draw 24%, away 38%

Likeliest score 1–1

Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction (Bundesliga):

Win probability: home 14%, draw 17%, away 69%

Likeliest score 1–2

Results this season

Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen result and stats:

24 Oct

Mainz2

Werder Bremen3

Upset

Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%

1.7–2.7match xG

Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz result and stats:

17 Oct

Schalke 040

Mainz1

Called correctly

Win probability: home 30%, draw 28%, away 42%

0.4–1.9match xG

Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen result and stats:

10 Oct

Mainz3

Bayer Leverkusen4

Called correctly

Win probability: home 28%, draw 25%, away 47%

2.9–1.7match xG

Gladbach 3–4 Mainz result and stats:

19 Sep

Gladbach3

Mainz4

Upset

Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%

3.2–2.8match xG

Mainz 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt result and stats:

12 Sep

Mainz1

Eintracht Frankfurt3

Upset

Win probability: home 43%, draw 25%, away 32%

2.1–2.0match xG

Hamburg 0–5 Mainz result and stats:

6 Sep

Hamburg0

Mainz5

Called correctly

Win probability: home 35%, draw 29%, away 36%

0.3–2.8match xG

Mainz 0–0 Paderborn result and stats:

29 Aug

Mainz0

Paderborn0

Upset

Win probability: home 46%, draw 27%, away 28%

1.2–0.7match xG

Season stats per game

Goals scored2.29

Goals conceded1.86

Expected goals (xG)2.21

xG against1.59

Shots17.7

Shots on target6.3

Shots on target against4.4

Conversion (goals per shot on target)36%

Corners5.0

Fouls12.9

Yellow cards2.29

Red cards0.00

Clean sheets43%

Both teams scored57%

3 or more goals71%

Failed to score14%

GOSSIPBALL rating

Attack (vs league average)+0.06

Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.10

Overall+0.15

What these numbers mean