Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 25%, away 32%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersEintracht Frankfurt won 3–1 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Mainz 43%, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 32%, so an away win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Mainz 2.12, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.04, so Mainz created the better chances. Mainz had 18 shots (5 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 11 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MAEF
2.12Expected goals2.04
18Shots11
5On target5
4Corners5
11Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Mainz
W @ Hamburg5–0 · 6 Sep
D v Paderborn0–0 · 29 Aug
W @ Heidenheim2–0 · 16 May
L v Union Berlin1–3 · 10 May
W @ St Pauli2–1 · 3 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
L v Augsburg1–4 · 6 Sep
D @ Union Berlin3–3 · 29 Aug
D v Stuttgart2–2 · 16 May
L @ Borussia Dortmund2–3 · 8 May
L v Hamburg1–2 · 2 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Mainz 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt, a win for Mainz.
Mainz 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt22 Mar 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Mainz9 Nov 2025
Mainz 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt4 May 2025
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 Mainz21 Dec 2024
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Mainz26 Jan 2024
Mainz 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt27 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
MAEF
2.29Goals1.43
1.86Conceded2.43
2.21xG1.72
1.59xG against2.07
17.7Shots13.7
6.3On target5.4
5.0Corners4.7
2.29Yellow cards2.29
43%Clean sheets14%
57%Both score57%
71%3+ goals71%