Schalke 04 vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 28%, away 42%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 1–0 away at Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Schalke 04 30%, the draw 28% and Mainz 42%, so an away win had a 42% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Schalke 04 0.43, Mainz 1.94, so Mainz created the better chances. Schalke 04 had 9 shots (3 on target) to Mainz's 10 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
S0MA
0.43Expected goals1.94
9Shots10
3On target6
4Corners1
12Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Schalke 04
L @ Freiburg1–2 · 11 Oct
D v Elversberg0–0 · 20 Sep
W @ Union Berlin3–1 · 11 Sep
D v Bayern Munich0–0 · 5 Sep
L @ Augsburg0–3 · 30 Aug
Mainz
L v Bayer Leverkusen3–4 · 10 Oct
W @ Gladbach4–3 · 19 Sep
L v Eintracht Frankfurt1–3 · 12 Sep
W @ Hamburg5–0 · 6 Sep
D v Paderborn0–0 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Schalke 04 won 2, Mainz won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 May 2023, finished Mainz 2–3 Schalke 04, a win for Schalke 04.
Mainz 2–3 Schalke 045 May 2023
Schalke 04 1–0 Mainz9 Nov 2022
Season averages per game
S0MA
0.57Goals2.29
1.00Conceded1.86
0.95xG2.21
1.82xG against1.59
10.0Shots17.7
3.1On target6.3
3.3Corners5.0
1.14Yellow cards2.29
43%Clean sheets43%
29%Both score57%
43%3+ goals71%