Gladbach vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 4–3 away at Gladbach in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Gladbach 37%, the draw 27% and Mainz 36%, so an away win had a 36% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Gladbach 3.24, Mainz 2.82, so Gladbach created the better chances. Gladbach had 21 shots (7 on target) to Mainz's 17 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
GLMA
3.24Expected goals2.82
21Shots17
7On target8
6Corners4
12Fouls14
6Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Gladbach
L @ Freiburg0–5 · 12 Sep
L v Elversberg3–4 · 5 Sep
L @ RB Leipzig0–3 · 29 Aug
W v Hoffenheim4–0 · 16 May
L @ Augsburg1–3 · 9 May
Mainz
L v Eintracht Frankfurt1–3 · 12 Sep
W @ Hamburg5–0 · 6 Sep
D v Paderborn0–0 · 29 Aug
W @ Heidenheim2–0 · 16 May
L v Union Berlin1–3 · 10 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gladbach won 1, Mainz won 3 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Gladbach 1–1 Mainz19 Apr 2026
Mainz 0–1 Gladbach5 Dec 2025
Gladbach 1–3 Mainz7 Mar 2025
Mainz 1–1 Gladbach25 Oct 2024
Mainz 1–1 Gladbach2 Mar 2024
Gladbach 2–2 Mainz6 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
GLMA
1.57Goals2.29
3.14Conceded1.86
1.59xG2.21
2.34xG against1.59
15.3Shots17.7
4.7On target6.3
5.9Corners5.0
3.29Yellow cards2.29
0%Clean sheets43%
71%Both score57%
100%3+ goals71%