GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 21 March 2026 ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg result and stats

66%
test home win
3–2
full time
21%
draw
13%
test away win
Win probability: home 66%, draw 21%, away 13%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburg 3–2 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Borussia Dortmund 66%, the draw 21% and Hamburg 13%, so a home win had a 66% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BDHA
24
Shots
4
8
On target
4
11
Corners
3
10
Fouls
8
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
2

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
W v Augsburg2–0 · 14 Mar
W @ FC Köln2–1 · 7 Mar
L v Bayern Munich2–3 · 28 Feb
D @ RB Leipzig2–2 · 21 Feb
W v Mainz4–0 · 13 Feb
Hamburg
D v FC Köln1–1 · 14 Mar
W @ Wolfsburg2–1 · 7 Mar
L v Bayer Leverkusen0–1 · 4 Mar
L v RB Leipzig1–2 · 1 Mar
D @ Mainz1–1 · 20 Feb

Head to head

In 1 league meeting since 2025, Borussia Dortmund won 0, Hamburg won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 8 Nov 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Hamburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund8 Nov 2025

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]