GossipBall
BundesligaFriday 13 February 2026 ·

Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz result and stats

61%
test home win
4–0
full time
23%
draw
16%
test away win
Win probability: home 61%, draw 23%, away 16%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Borussia Dortmund beat Mainz 4–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 13 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Borussia Dortmund 61%, the draw 23% and Mainz 16%, so a home win had a 61% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BDMA
14
Shots
10
8
On target
5
7
Corners
2
10
Fouls
5
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
3
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund
W @ Wolfsburg2–1 · 7 Feb
W v Heidenheim3–2 · 1 Feb
W @ Union Berlin3–0 · 24 Jan
W v St Pauli3–2 · 17 Jan
W v Werder Bremen3–0 · 13 Jan
Mainz
W v Augsburg2–0 · 7 Feb
W @ RB Leipzig2–1 · 31 Jan
W v Wolfsburg3–1 · 24 Jan
L @ FC Köln1–2 · 17 Jan
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Jan

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Borussia Dortmund won 5, Mainz won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Sep 2025, finished Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund, a win for Borussia Dortmund.

Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund27 Sep 2025
Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz30 Mar 2025
Mainz 3–1 Borussia Dortmund9 Nov 2024
Mainz 3–0 Borussia Dortmund11 May 2024
Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Mainz19 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Mainz27 May 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]