GossipBall
BundesligaSaturday 16 May 2026 ·

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig result and stats

28%
test home win
4–1
full time
25%
draw
47%
test away win
Win probability: home 28%, draw 25%, away 47%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Freiburg beat RB Leipzig 4–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Freiburg 28%, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 47%, so a home win had a 28% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

FRRL
11
Shots
14
5
On target
6
1
Corners
2
13
Fouls
7
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Freiburg
L @ Hamburg2–3 · 10 May
D v Wolfsburg1–1 · 3 May
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–4 · 26 Apr
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 19 Apr
W @ Mainz1–0 · 12 Apr
RB Leipzig
W v St Pauli2–1 · 9 May
L @ Bayer Leverkusen1–4 · 2 May
W v Union Berlin3–1 · 24 Apr
W @ Eintracht Frankfurt3–1 · 18 Apr
W v Gladbach1–0 · 11 Apr

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 0, RB Leipzig won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Jan 2026, finished RB Leipzig 2–0 Freiburg, a win for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 2–0 Freiburg14 Jan 2026
Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig8 Mar 2025
RB Leipzig 3–1 Freiburg26 Oct 2024
Freiburg 1–4 RB Leipzig6 Apr 2024
RB Leipzig 3–1 Freiburg12 Nov 2023
Freiburg 0–1 RB Leipzig6 May 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]