Freiburg
Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga with 13 points from 7 games (4 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats), having scored 16 and conceded 9.
They average 1.75 expected goals for and 1.21 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 9th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Freiburg to finish with about 50 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 13% of a top-four finish and 1% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Augsburg on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Freiburg a 37% chance of winning.
9 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.75xG per game
1.21xG against per game
29%clean sheets
49.8expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Augsburg
Freiburg
Win probability: home 37%, draw 26%, away 37%
Likeliest score 1–1
Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction (Bundesliga):
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
25 Oct
Freiburg1
Bayern Munich3
Called correctly
Win probability: home 14%, draw 17%, away 69%
1.0–2.9match xG
Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg result and stats:
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen2
Freiburg1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 62%, draw 21%, away 17%
1.6–1.2match xG
Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04 result and stats:
11 Oct
Freiburg2
Schalke 041
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 21%
1.1–0.3match xG
Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 Freiburg result and stats:
19 Sep
Eintracht Frankfurt2
Freiburg2
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 23%, away 29%
2.2–3.1match xG
Freiburg 5–0 Gladbach result and stats:
12 Sep
Freiburg5
Gladbach0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 47%, draw 25%, away 28%
2.6–0.2match xG
Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg result and stats:
5 Sep
Paderborn0
Freiburg1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 32%, away 31%
0.8–1.2match xG
Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen result and stats:
30 Aug
Freiburg4
Werder Bremen1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
1.9–0.5match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored2.29
Goals conceded1.29
Expected goals (xG)1.75
xG against1.21
Shots16.1
Shots on target5.1
Shots on target against3.4
Conversion (goals per shot on target)45%
Corners5.1
Fouls9.4
Yellow cards1.71
Red cards0.14
Clean sheets29%
Both teams scored71%
3 or more goals86%
Failed to score0%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.07
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.07
Overall+0.14