Paderborn vs Freiburg result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 32%, away 31%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersFreiburg won 1–0 away at Paderborn in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Paderborn 37%, the draw 32% and Freiburg 31%, so an away win had a 31% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Paderborn 0.77, Freiburg 1.24, so Freiburg created the better chances. Paderborn had 14 shots (3 on target) to Freiburg's 16 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
PAFR
0.77Expected goals1.24
14Shots16
3On target5
5Corners4
16Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Paderborn
D @ Mainz0–0 · 29 Aug
Freiburg
W v Werder Bremen4–1 · 30 Aug
W v RB Leipzig4–1 · 16 May
L @ Hamburg2–3 · 10 May
D v Wolfsburg1–1 · 3 May
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–4 · 26 Apr
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
PAFR
0.86Goals2.29
1.29Conceded1.29
1.02xG1.75
1.70xG against1.21
14.0Shots16.1
3.4On target5.1
4.6Corners5.1
1.29Yellow cards1.71
29%Clean sheets29%
29%Both score71%
43%3+ goals86%