Paderborn
Paderborn are 13th in the Bundesliga with 8 points from 7 games (2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats), having scored 6 and conceded 9.
They average 1.02 expected goals for and 1.70 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 17th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Paderborn to finish with about 35 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 43% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Gladbach on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Paderborn a 24% chance of winning.
17 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.02xG per game
1.70xG against per game
29%clean sheets
35.1expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Gladbach
Paderborn
Win probability: home 49%, draw 27%, away 24%
Likeliest score 1–1
Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction (Bundesliga):
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win probability: home 30%, draw 27%, away 43%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
24 Oct
Paderborn1
Hamburg0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 34%
1.4–0.5match xG
Werder Bremen 2–2 Paderborn result and stats:
17 Oct
Werder Bremen2
Paderborn2
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 30%, away 24%
3.2–1.1match xG
Paderborn 0–2 Stuttgart result and stats:
10 Oct
Paderborn0
Stuttgart2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 22%, draw 28%, away 50%
2.0–2.5match xG
Paderborn 3–1 Hoffenheim result and stats:
20 Sep
Paderborn3
Hoffenheim1
Upset
Win probability: home 24%, draw 30%, away 46%
0.7–1.5match xG
Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn result and stats:
12 Sep
Borussia Dortmund3
Paderborn0
Called correctly
Win probability: home 65%, draw 24%, away 11%
1.8–0.5match xG
Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg result and stats:
5 Sep
Paderborn0
Freiburg1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 32%, away 31%
0.8–1.2match xG
Mainz 0–0 Paderborn result and stats:
29 Aug
Mainz0
Paderborn0
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 27%, away 28%
1.2–0.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored0.86
Goals conceded1.29
Expected goals (xG)1.02
xG against1.70
Shots14.0
Shots on target3.4
Shots on target against5.6
Conversion (goals per shot on target)25%
Corners4.6
Fouls10.7
Yellow cards1.29
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets29%
Both teams scored29%
3 or more goals43%
Failed to score57%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.33
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.07
Overall-0.26