Werder Bremen vs Paderborn result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 30%, away 24%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWerder Bremen and Paderborn drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Werder Bremen 46%, the draw 30% and Paderborn 24%, so a draw had a 30% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Werder Bremen 3.21, Paderborn 1.15, so Werder Bremen created the better chances. Werder Bremen had 18 shots (11 on target) to Paderborn's 11 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WBPA
3.21Expected goals1.15
18Shots11
11On target4
5Corners3
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Werder Bremen
D @ Borussia Dortmund2–2 · 9 Oct
W v Augsburg3–2 · 19 Sep
D @ FC Köln1–1 · 12 Sep
W v RB Leipzig3–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Freiburg1–4 · 30 Aug
Paderborn
L v Stuttgart0–2 · 10 Oct
W v Hoffenheim3–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–3 · 12 Sep
L v Freiburg0–1 · 5 Sep
D @ Mainz0–0 · 29 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
WBPA
2.14Goals0.86
2.00Conceded1.29
1.77xG1.02
1.64xG against1.70
14.4Shots14.0
7.0On target3.4
4.0Corners4.6
1.14Yellow cards1.29
0%Clean sheets29%
100%Both score29%
86%3+ goals43%