BundesligaMatchday 8Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:30

Gladbach vs Paderborn prediction

Gladbach

49%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

13.0% chance

27%

draw

Paderborn

24%

away win

Win probability: home 49%, draw 27%, away 24%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Gladbach favourites to beat Paderborn at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Gladbach a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Paderborn 24%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Gladbach and 1.0 from Paderborn, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (13%). Gladbach keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Paderborn in 21%.

Gladbach are 18th in the table with 3 points from 7 games; Paderborn are 13th with 8. In their last five league games Gladbach took 3 points (LLLLW) and Paderborn took 7 (LWLDW). This season Gladbach average 1.59 expected goals (xG) for and 2.34 against per game; Paderborn average 1.02 for and 1.70 against.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Gladbach goalsColumns: Paderborn goals

1–113.0%

1–011.1%

2–19.4%

2–09.3%

0–08.6%

0–16.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

91%

2 or more goals

73%

3 or more goals

47%

4 or more goals

26%

5 or more goals

12%

Both teams score

51%

GOSSIPBALL expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.55 for Gladbach and 1.01 for Paderborn.

Winning margin

Explained

Gladbach by 3

Gladbach by 2

15%

Gladbach by 1

23%

Draw

27%

Paderborn by 3

Paderborn by 2

Paderborn by 1

15%

Each team's goals

Explained

Gladbach expected goals1.55

Paderborn expected goals1.01

Gladbach keep a clean sheet36%

Paderborn keep a clean sheet21%

Gladbach win without conceding28%

Paderborn win without conceding13%

Gladbach score 2 or more46%

Paderborn score 2 or more27%

Recent form

Gladbach

W @ Stuttgart3–2 · 23 Oct

L v Hoffenheim1–2 · 18 Oct

L @ FC Köln1–2 · 11 Oct

L v Mainz3–4 · 19 Sep

L @ Freiburg0–5 · 12 Sep

Paderborn

W v Hamburg1–0 · 24 Oct

D @ Werder Bremen2–2 · 17 Oct

L v Stuttgart0–2 · 10 Oct

W v Hoffenheim3–1 · 20 Sep

L @ Borussia Dortmund0–3 · 12 Sep

Head to head

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

GLPA

1.57

Goals

0.86

3.14

Conceded

1.29

1.59

1.02

2.34

xG against

1.70

15.3

Shots

14.0

4.7

On target

3.4

5.9

Corners

4.6

3.29

Yellow cards

1.29

Clean sheets

29%

71%

Both score

29%

100%

3+ goals

43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Gladbach vs Paderborn?

GossipBall gives Gladbach a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paderborn 24%. GossipBall makes Gladbach favourites to beat Paderborn at home.

What is the most likely score in Gladbach vs Paderborn?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 13% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Gladbach vs Paderborn?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Gladbach and Paderborn score.

Will there be three or more goals in Gladbach vs Paderborn?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for Gladbach, 1.0 for Paderborn).

When is Gladbach vs Paderborn?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC.