Paderborn vs Hamburg result and stats
Win probability: home 36%, draw 30%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPaderborn beat Hamburg 1–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Paderborn 36%, the draw 30% and Hamburg 34%, so a home win had a 36% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Paderborn 1.37, Hamburg 0.46, so Paderborn created the better chances. Paderborn had 16 shots (6 on target) to Hamburg's 8 (1 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
PAHA
1.37Expected goals0.46
16Shots8
6On target1
6Corners3
12Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Paderborn
D @ Werder Bremen2–2 · 17 Oct
L v Stuttgart0–2 · 10 Oct
W v Hoffenheim3–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–3 · 12 Sep
L v Freiburg0–1 · 5 Sep
Hamburg
W v Stuttgart1–0 · 17 Oct
W @ Hoffenheim3–2 · 10 Oct
W v FC Köln2–1 · 19 Sep
L @ RB Leipzig0–5 · 13 Sep
L v Mainz0–5 · 6 Sep
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
PAHA
0.86Goals0.86
1.29Conceded2.29
1.02xG0.99
1.70xG against1.80
14.0Shots10.7
3.4On target3.3
4.6Corners3.7
1.29Yellow cards1.43
29%Clean sheets14%
29%Both score29%
43%3+ goals57%