Paderborn vs Hoffenheim result and stats
Win probability: home 24%, draw 30%, away 46%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersPaderborn beat Hoffenheim 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Paderborn 24%, the draw 30% and Hoffenheim 46%, so a home win had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Paderborn 0.68, Hoffenheim 1.50, so Hoffenheim created the better chances. Paderborn had 13 shots (5 on target) to Hoffenheim's 23 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
PAHO
0.68Expected goals1.50
13Shots23
5On target2
6Corners5
6Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Paderborn
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–3 · 12 Sep
L v Freiburg0–1 · 5 Sep
D @ Mainz0–0 · 29 Aug
Hoffenheim
W v Stuttgart2–1 · 12 Sep
L v Borussia Dortmund2–3 · 5 Sep
L @ FC Köln2–3 · 29 Aug
L @ Gladbach0–4 · 16 May
W v Werder Bremen1–0 · 9 May
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
PAHO
0.86Goals2.00
1.29Conceded2.00
1.02xG2.01
1.70xG against1.31
14.0Shots18.1
3.4On target5.4
4.6Corners6.4
1.29Yellow cards2.14
29%Clean sheets14%
29%Both score86%
43%3+ goals100%