Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn result and stats
Win probability: home 65%, draw 24%, away 11%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBorussia Dortmund beat Paderborn 3–0 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Borussia Dortmund 65%, the draw 24% and Paderborn 11%, so a home win had a 65% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Borussia Dortmund 1.76, Paderborn 0.49, so Borussia Dortmund created the better chances. Borussia Dortmund had 14 shots (8 on target) to Paderborn's 10 (0 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BDPA
1.76Expected goals0.49
14Shots10
8On target0
7Corners3
11Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund
W @ Hoffenheim3–2 · 5 Sep
W v Hamburg2–0 · 29 Aug
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 16 May
W v Eintracht Frankfurt3–2 · 8 May
L @ Gladbach0–1 · 3 May
Paderborn
L v Freiburg0–1 · 5 Sep
D @ Mainz0–0 · 29 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
BDPA
1.71Goals0.86
0.57Conceded1.29
1.65xG1.02
0.96xG against1.70
15.3Shots14.0
5.1On target3.4
6.0Corners4.6
2.14Yellow cards1.29
71%Clean sheets29%
29%Both score29%
43%3+ goals43%