BundesligaMatchday 8Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:30

Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction

Augsburg

37%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

11.9% chance

26%

draw

Freiburg

37%

away win

Win probability: home 37%, draw 26%, away 37%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Augsburg against Freiburg as too close to call in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Augsburg a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Freiburg 37%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Augsburg and 1.5 from Freiburg, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Augsburg keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Freiburg in 22%.

Augsburg are 9th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; Freiburg are 3rd with 13. In their last five league games Augsburg took 3 points (DLDLD) and Freiburg took 7 (WDWLL). This season Augsburg average 2.16 expected goals (xG) for and 2.74 against per game; Freiburg average 1.75 for and 1.21 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Freiburg won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Augsburg goalsColumns: Freiburg goals

1–111.9%

2–18.4%

1–28.4%

1–06.5%

0–16.4%

2–26.4%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

94%

2 or more goals

81%

3 or more goals

59%

4 or more goals

36%

5 or more goals

19%

Both teams score

62%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.52 for Augsburg and 1.51 for Freiburg.

Winning margin

Explained

Augsburg by 3

Augsburg by 2

11%

Augsburg by 1

19%

Draw

26%

Freiburg by 3

Freiburg by 2

11%

Freiburg by 1

19%

Each team's goals

Explained

Augsburg expected goals1.52

Freiburg expected goals1.51

Augsburg keep a clean sheet22%

Freiburg keep a clean sheet22%

Augsburg win without conceding16%

Freiburg win without conceding16%

Augsburg score 2 or more45%

Freiburg score 2 or more45%

Recent form

Augsburg

D v Union Berlin1–1 · 24 Oct

L @ Elversberg3–4 · 17 Oct

D v Bayern Munich2–2 · 10 Oct

L @ Werder Bremen2–3 · 19 Sep

D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 12 Sep

Freiburg

L v Bayern Munich1–3 · 25 Oct

L @ Bayer Leverkusen1–2 · 18 Oct

W v Schalke 042–1 · 11 Oct

D @ Eintracht Frankfurt2–2 · 19 Sep

W v Gladbach5–0 · 12 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Freiburg won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg18 Jan 2026

Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg23 Aug 2025

Augsburg 0–0 Freiburg2 Mar 2025

Freiburg 3–1 Augsburg19 Oct 2024

Augsburg 2–1 Freiburg25 Feb 2024

Freiburg 2–0 Augsburg1 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

AUFR

2.43

Goals

2.29

1.86

Conceded

1.29

2.16

1.75

2.74

xG against

1.21

17.7

Shots

16.1

6.7

On target

5.1

5.9

Corners

5.1

1.57

Yellow cards

1.71

14%

Clean sheets

29%

86%

Both score

71%

86%

3+ goals

86%

Questions and answers

Who will win Augsburg vs Freiburg?

GossipBall gives Augsburg a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Freiburg 37%. GossipBall sees Augsburg against Freiburg as too close to call.

What is the most likely score in Augsburg vs Freiburg?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (6%).

Will both teams score in Augsburg vs Freiburg?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Augsburg and Freiburg score.

Will there be three or more goals in Augsburg vs Freiburg?

There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.5 for Augsburg, 1.5 for Freiburg).

When is Augsburg vs Freiburg?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Augsburg and Freiburg?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Freiburg won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, was a 2–2 draw.