Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction
Match preview
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Freiburg favourites to beat Union Berlin at home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Freiburg a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Union Berlin 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Freiburg and 1.0 from Union Berlin, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (12%). Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Union Berlin in 17%.
Freiburg are 3rd in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Union Berlin are 17th with 6. In their last five league games Freiburg took 7 points (WDWLL) and Union Berlin took 5 (LLWDD). This season Freiburg average 1.75 expected goals (xG) for and 1.21 against per game; Union Berlin average 1.10 for and 2.01 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, Union Berlin won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin, a win for Union Berlin.
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGoals
ExplainedGOSSIPBALL expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.75 for Freiburg and 1.02 for Union Berlin.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, Union Berlin won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin, a win for Union Berlin.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
GossipBall gives Freiburg a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Berlin 21%. GossipBall makes Freiburg favourites to beat Union Berlin at home.
What is the most likely score in Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 12% chance. The next most likely are 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Freiburg and Union Berlin score.
Will there be three or more goals in Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.7 for Freiburg, 1.0 for Union Berlin).
When is Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Freiburg and Union Berlin?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, Union Berlin won 5 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin, a win for Union Berlin.