Heidenheim vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 27%, away 42%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 2–0 away at Heidenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Heidenheim 31%, the draw 27% and Mainz 42%, so an away win had a 42% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HEMA
15Shots15
5On target9
6Corners3
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Heidenheim
W @ FC Köln3–1 · 10 May
D @ Bayern Munich3–3 · 2 May
W v St Pauli2–0 · 25 Apr
L @ Freiburg1–2 · 19 Apr
W v Union Berlin3–1 · 11 Apr
Mainz
L v Union Berlin1–3 · 10 May
W @ St Pauli2–1 · 3 May
L v Bayern Munich3–4 · 25 Apr
D @ Gladbach1–1 · 19 Apr
L v Freiburg0–1 · 12 Apr
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Heidenheim won 2, Mainz won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 13 Jan 2026, finished Mainz 2–1 Heidenheim, a win for Mainz.
Mainz 2–1 Heidenheim13 Jan 2026
Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz16 Feb 2025
Mainz 0–2 Heidenheim28 Sep 2024
Heidenheim 1–1 Mainz5 May 2024
Mainz 0–1 Heidenheim16 Dec 2023