Hoffenheim vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 30%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 2–1 away at Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Hoffenheim 45%, the draw 25% and Mainz 30%, so an away win had a 30% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
HOMA
16Shots9
5On target5
7Corners3
11Fouls5
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Hoffenheim
L @ RB Leipzig0–5 · 20 Mar
D v Wolfsburg1–1 · 14 Mar
W @ Heidenheim4–2 · 7 Mar
L v St Pauli0–1 · 28 Feb
D @ FC Köln2–2 · 21 Feb
Mainz
W v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1 · 22 Mar
W @ Werder Bremen2–0 · 15 Mar
D v Stuttgart2–2 · 7 Mar
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 28 Feb
D v Hamburg1–1 · 20 Feb
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Hoffenheim won 2, Mainz won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Nov 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim21 Nov 2025
Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz12 Apr 2025
Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim1 Dec 2024
Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim13 Apr 2024
Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz26 Nov 2023
Mainz 1–0 Hoffenheim4 Mar 2023