Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen result and stats
Win probability: home 24%, draw 26%, away 50%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBayer Leverkusen won 4–3 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Saturday 18 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 24%, the draw 26% and Bayer Leverkusen 50%, so an away win had a 50% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MABL
12Shots20
4On target8
2Corners3
20Fouls12
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals3
Recent form
Mainz
L @ Hamburg0–4 · 5 Oct
L v Borussia Dortmund0–2 · 27 Sep
W @ Augsburg4–1 · 20 Sep
L v RB Leipzig0–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Wolfsburg1–1 · 31 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
W v Union Berlin2–0 · 4 Oct
W @ St Pauli2–1 · 27 Sep
D v Gladbach1–1 · 21 Sep
W v Eintracht Frankfurt3–1 · 12 Sep
D @ Werder Bremen3–3 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Mainz 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen17 May 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 Mainz14 Jan 2025
Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Mainz23 Feb 2024
Mainz 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen30 Sep 2023
Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 Mainz19 Feb 2023
Mainz 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen27 Aug 2022