Mainz vs Borussia Dortmund result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBorussia Dortmund won 2–0 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 30%, the draw 26% and Borussia Dortmund 44%, so an away win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MABD
8Shots10
2On target4
7Corners5
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Mainz
W @ Augsburg4–1 · 20 Sep
L v RB Leipzig0–1 · 13 Sep
D @ Wolfsburg1–1 · 31 Aug
L v FC Köln0–1 · 24 Aug
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 17 May
Borussia Dortmund
W v Wolfsburg1–0 · 21 Sep
W @ Heidenheim2–0 · 13 Sep
W v Union Berlin3–0 · 31 Aug
D @ St Pauli3–3 · 23 Aug
W v Holstein Kiel3–0 · 17 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Mar 2025, finished Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz, a win for Borussia Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz30 Mar 2025
Mainz 3–1 Borussia Dortmund9 Nov 2024
Mainz 3–0 Borussia Dortmund11 May 2024
Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Mainz19 Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Mainz27 May 2023
Mainz 1–2 Borussia Dortmund25 Jan 2023