Mainz vs Heidenheim result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 27%, away 20%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz beat Heidenheim 2–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Tuesday 13 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 53%, the draw 27% and Heidenheim 20%, so a home win had a 53% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MAHE
13Shots15
6On target4
4Corners1
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mainz
D @ Union Berlin2–2 · 10 Jan
D v St Pauli0–0 · 21 Dec
D @ Bayern Munich2–2 · 14 Dec
L v Gladbach0–1 · 5 Dec
L @ Freiburg0–4 · 30 Nov
Heidenheim
D v FC Köln2–2 · 10 Jan
L v Bayern Munich0–4 · 21 Dec
L @ St Pauli1–2 · 13 Dec
W v Freiburg2–1 · 6 Dec
W @ Union Berlin2–1 · 29 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Mainz won 1, Heidenheim won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Feb 2025, finished Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz, a win for Mainz.
Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz16 Feb 2025
Mainz 0–2 Heidenheim28 Sep 2024
Heidenheim 1–1 Mainz5 May 2024
Mainz 0–1 Heidenheim16 Dec 2023