Mainz vs Hoffenheim result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 25%, away 30%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz and Hoffenheim drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga on Friday 21 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 45%, the draw 25% and Hoffenheim 30%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MAHO
17Shots19
3On target5
7Corners4
13Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Mainz
L @ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1 · 9 Nov
D v Werder Bremen1–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Stuttgart1–2 · 26 Oct
L v Bayer Leverkusen3–4 · 18 Oct
L @ Hamburg0–4 · 5 Oct
Hoffenheim
W v RB Leipzig3–1 · 8 Nov
W @ Wolfsburg3–2 · 2 Nov
W v Heidenheim3–1 · 25 Oct
W @ St Pauli3–0 · 19 Oct
L v FC Köln0–1 · 3 Oct
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 5, Hoffenheim won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2025, finished Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz, a win for Hoffenheim.
Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz12 Apr 2025
Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim1 Dec 2024
Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim13 Apr 2024
Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz26 Nov 2023
Mainz 1–0 Hoffenheim4 Mar 2023
Hoffenheim 4–1 Mainz10 Sep 2022