Mainz vs RB Leipzig result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 37%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRB Leipzig won 1–0 away at Mainz in the Bundesliga on Saturday 13 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 35%, the draw 28% and RB Leipzig 37%, so an away win had a 37% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MARL
13Shots19
2On target3
3Corners5
12Fouls11
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Mainz
D @ Wolfsburg1–1 · 31 Aug
L v FC Köln0–1 · 24 Aug
D v Bayer Leverkusen2–2 · 17 May
W @ Bochum4–1 · 10 May
D v Eintracht Frankfurt1–1 · 4 May
RB Leipzig
W v Heidenheim2–0 · 30 Aug
L @ Bayern Munich0–6 · 22 Aug
L v Stuttgart2–3 · 17 May
D @ Werder Bremen0–0 · 10 May
D v Bayern Munich3–3 · 3 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 4, RB Leipzig won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2025, finished RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz, a win for Mainz.
RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz1 Mar 2025
Mainz 0–2 RB Leipzig19 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig 0–0 Mainz30 Mar 2024
Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig4 Nov 2023
RB Leipzig 0–3 Mainz1 Apr 2023
Mainz 1–1 RB Leipzig8 Oct 2022