Mainz vs St Pauli result and stats
Win probability: home 49%, draw 32%, away 20%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz and St Pauli drew 0–0 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 21 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 49%, the draw 32% and St Pauli 20%, so a draw had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MASP
13Shots5
1On target1
9Corners5
5Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mainz
D @ Bayern Munich2–2 · 14 Dec
L v Gladbach0–1 · 5 Dec
L @ Freiburg0–4 · 30 Nov
D v Hoffenheim1–1 · 21 Nov
L @ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1 · 9 Nov
St Pauli
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Dec
D @ FC Köln1–1 · 6 Dec
L @ Bayern Munich1–3 · 29 Nov
L v Union Berlin0–1 · 23 Nov
L @ Freiburg1–2 · 9 Nov
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Mainz won 2, St Pauli won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2025, finished Mainz 2–0 St Pauli, a win for Mainz.
Mainz 2–0 St Pauli22 Feb 2025
St Pauli 0–3 Mainz5 Oct 2024