Mainz vs Stuttgart result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 26%, away 43%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz and Stuttgart drew 2–2 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 31%, the draw 26% and Stuttgart 43%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MAST
18Shots11
6On target4
5Corners6
7Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Mainz
D @ Bayer Leverkusen1–1 · 28 Feb
D v Hamburg1–1 · 20 Feb
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–4 · 13 Feb
W v Augsburg2–0 · 7 Feb
W @ RB Leipzig2–1 · 31 Jan
Stuttgart
W v Wolfsburg4–0 · 1 Mar
D @ Heidenheim3–3 · 22 Feb
W v FC Köln3–1 · 14 Feb
L @ St Pauli1–2 · 7 Feb
W v Freiburg1–0 · 1 Feb
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 1, Stuttgart won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Oct 2025, finished Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz, a win for Stuttgart.
Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz26 Oct 2025
Mainz 2–0 Stuttgart25 Jan 2025
Stuttgart 3–3 Mainz31 Aug 2024
Stuttgart 3–1 Mainz11 Feb 2024
Mainz 1–3 Stuttgart16 Sep 2023
Mainz 1–4 Stuttgart21 May 2023