Mainz vs Wolfsburg result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 28%, away 29%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz beat Wolfsburg 3–1 at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Mainz 43%, the draw 28% and Wolfsburg 29%, so a home win had a 43% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MAWO
20Shots7
9On target2
15Corners1
8Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Mainz
L @ FC Köln1–2 · 17 Jan
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Jan
D @ Union Berlin2–2 · 10 Jan
D v St Pauli0–0 · 21 Dec
D @ Bayern Munich2–2 · 14 Dec
Wolfsburg
D v Heidenheim1–1 · 17 Jan
W v St Pauli2–1 · 14 Jan
L @ Bayern Munich1–8 · 11 Jan
L v Freiburg3–4 · 20 Dec
W @ Gladbach3–1 · 13 Dec
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Mainz won 2, Wolfsburg won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Aug 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Wolfsburg 1–1 Mainz31 Aug 2025
Mainz 2–2 Wolfsburg19 Apr 2025
Wolfsburg 4–3 Mainz8 Dec 2024
Wolfsburg 1–3 Mainz18 May 2024
Mainz 1–1 Wolfsburg13 Jan 2024
Wolfsburg 3–0 Mainz30 Apr 2023