RB Leipzig vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 56%, draw 25%, away 19%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 2–1 away at RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave RB Leipzig 56%, the draw 25% and Mainz 19%, so an away win had a 19% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RLMA
15Shots11
4On target4
5Corners4
4Fouls13
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
RB Leipzig
D @ St Pauli1–1 · 27 Jan
W @ Heidenheim3–0 · 24 Jan
L v Bayern Munich1–5 · 17 Jan
W v Freiburg2–0 · 14 Jan
L v Bayer Leverkusen1–3 · 20 Dec
Mainz
W v Wolfsburg3–1 · 24 Jan
L @ FC Köln1–2 · 17 Jan
W v Heidenheim2–1 · 13 Jan
D @ Union Berlin2–2 · 10 Jan
D v St Pauli0–0 · 21 Dec
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, RB Leipzig won 3, Mainz won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Sep 2025, finished Mainz 0–1 RB Leipzig, a win for RB Leipzig.
Mainz 0–1 RB Leipzig13 Sep 2025
RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz1 Mar 2025
Mainz 0–2 RB Leipzig19 Oct 2024
RB Leipzig 0–0 Mainz30 Mar 2024
Mainz 2–0 RB Leipzig4 Nov 2023
RB Leipzig 0–3 Mainz1 Apr 2023