St Pauli vs Mainz result and stats
Win probability: home 25%, draw 32%, away 43%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMainz won 2–1 away at St Pauli in the Bundesliga on Sunday 3 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave St Pauli 25%, the draw 32% and Mainz 43%, so an away win had a 43% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SPMA
10Shots17
3On target6
7Corners7
10Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
St Pauli
L @ Heidenheim0–2 · 25 Apr
D v FC Köln1–1 · 17 Apr
L v Bayern Munich0–5 · 11 Apr
D @ Union Berlin1–1 · 5 Apr
L v Freiburg1–2 · 22 Mar
Mainz
L v Bayern Munich3–4 · 25 Apr
D @ Gladbach1–1 · 19 Apr
L v Freiburg0–1 · 12 Apr
W @ Hoffenheim2–1 · 4 Apr
W v Eintracht Frankfurt2–1 · 22 Mar
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, St Pauli won 0, Mainz won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Dec 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Mainz 0–0 St Pauli21 Dec 2025
Mainz 2–0 St Pauli22 Feb 2025
St Pauli 0–3 Mainz5 Oct 2024